ECS526 Course Schedule (Fall 2017):

 

Textbooks: Walpole & Myers (W/M); Montgomery & Runger (M/R)  
 
Week    AppDat    Ch.W/M   Ch.M/R     Topics
====    ======    ======   ======     ======
 1       8/29     1 - 2      1        Intro/Descriptive/Probs/Events
 2       9/5      3 - 4      2        Laws & Axioms of Random Vars.
 3       9/12     5 - 6      3        Discrete Distributions/Parameters
 4       9/19       7        4        Continuous Distributions/Paramtrs.
 5       9/26       8        5        Transformations/First Test 
 6      10/3      9 - 17   7 - 8      Confidence Intervals/Samplng Dist.
 7      10/10      10        9        One Sample Hypothesis Tests & CI
 8      10/17      10        10       Two Sample Hypothesis Tests & CI
 9      10/24      10        15       NonParametric, GOF & other tests
10      10/31     8 - 10     16       Quality Control/Second Test
11      11/7       11        11       Regression Analysis & Applicats.
12      11/14    11 - 13     13       Analysis of Variance & Applicats
13      11/21      12        7 	      Thanksgivings Break
14      11/28      14        14       DOE, Reliability & Applicats.
15      12/06     8 - 17   3 - 8      Group Project Presentation
16      12/12     8 - 17   3 - 8      Final Project Submission

Course Readings: 
================

Quality and Reliability Institute Web page:
===========================================
http://ecs.syr.edu/faculty/romeu/QR&CII.htm

Walpole and Myers Textbook (9th Edition) in the Web:
====================================================
https://nnquan.files.wordpress.com/2013/01/probability-statistics-for-engineers-scientists-9th-edition-walpole.pdf

Statistical Education of American Engineers
===========================================
http://web.cortland.edu/romeu/StatEdAmerEng2012Q2-art3.pdf


E-Readings by (approximate) Week:
==================================


Week 1: Intro/Descriptive Stats/Probability.
============================================
Teaching Engineering Statistics to Practicing Engineers
http://www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/~iase/publications/17/4A1_ROME.pdf 
Random Variables and Statistical Distributions: 
A)	AMPTIAC Newsletter. 
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.167.5518&rep=rep1&type=pdf
B)	RAC Newsletter:
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/1ST_Q2001.pdf (pp. 9 through 14)


Week 2: Probability Laws/Random Variables
=========================================
Empirical Assessment of Normal and Lognormal Distribution Assumptions
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/NLDIST.pdf 
Statistical Assumptions of an Exponential Distribution
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/E_ASSUME.pdf
Graphical Comparisons of Two Populations
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/2POP.pdf 


 
Week 3: Discrete Distributions & Parameters 
===========================================
Empirical Assessment of the Weibull Distribution
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/WEIBULL.pdf 
Reliability Estimation for the Exponential Life
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/R_EXP.pdf  


Week 4: Continuous Distributions & Parameters
=============================================
Parallel Systems Reliability
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/S&PSYSREL.pdf
Availability of Repairable Systems 
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/AVAILSTAT.pdf 



Week 5: Sample Size. Transformations. First Test (Probs)
========================================================
Determining the Experimental Sample Size
http://web.cortland.edu/romeu/ExperSampSizeQR&CII.pdf 
Censored Data. 
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/CENSOR.pdf 



Week 6: Confidence Interval & Sampling Distributions
====================================================
Reliability Statistics II: On Estimation and Testing (Page 4)
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/3q2001.pdf
Statistical Confidence  
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/STAT_CO.pdf



Week 7: One Sample Hypothesis Tests.
====================================
Reliability Estimation for the Exponential Life
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/R_EXP.pdf  
Understanding Logistics
http://web.cortland.edu/romeu/LogisticsREL_V1N3.pdf 



Week 8: Two Sample Hypothesis Tests
=================================== 
The Chi-Square: a Large-Sample Goodness of Fit Test
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/Chi_Square.pdf 
OC Functions and Acceptance Sampling Plans
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/OC_Curves.pdf 



Week 9: Goodness-of-Fit & NonParametrics Tests 
==============================================
The Kolmogorov-Smirnov: a Small-Sample Goodness of Fit Test
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/K_STest.pdf   
The Anderson-Darling: a Small-Sample Goodness of Fit Test
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/A_DTest.pdf   

 
Week 10: Aplications to QC. Second Test (Inferential).
======================================================
Quality Control Charts
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/QCCHARTS.pdf
Combining data
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/COMBINE.pdf




Week 11: Intro to Modeling in Regression
========================================
Reliability Statistics III: 
On Statistical Modeling of Reliability Data
a)	Journal of the Reliability Analysis Center. Vol. 9, Number 4.
	http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/4q2001.pdf
C)	Journal of AMPTIAC
http://infohouse.p2ric.org/ref/32/31672.pdf 
On Regression Analysis
http://web.cortland.edu/matresearch/RELTIQUES_V1N1.pdf 
Measuring Cost Avoidance with Messy Data
Proc. of the 2004 Reliability and Maintainability Symposium (RAMS).



Week 12: Intro to Modeling in ANOVA.
====================================
http://web.cortland.edu/romeu/RAMSPaper.pdf 
Minitab and Pizza: a Workshop Experiment
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/237389660_Minitab_and_Pizza_A_Workshop_Experiment 
Design and Evaluation of Aquatic Ecosystems via Simulation
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.105.349 
Operations Research and Statistical Techniques
http://web.cortland.edu/romeu/ORStatTechInDataMine.pdf 



Week 13: Thanksgivings Break
============================



Week 14: Case Studies in Modeling and Analysis: DOE
===================================================
Design of Experiments for Reliability Improvement
https://www.quanterion.com/design-of-experiments-for-reliability-improvement/
A Discussion on Software Reliability Models 
Journal of the Reliability Analysis Center. Vol. 8, Number 1.
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/1ST_Q2000.pdf 
Understanding Series and Parallel Systems Reliability
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/S&PSYSREL.pdf 
Understanding Exponential Sequential Tests
http://web.cortland.edu/matresearch/RELTIQUES_V1N2.pdf 
Understanding Binomial Sequential Tests
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/BINSEQ.pdf  
Determining the Experimental Sample Size. 
Journal of the Systems Reliability Center (SRC) 
3rd Quarter 2005; pp. 11-21
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/3Q2005.pdf  
Use of Bayesian Techniques for Reliability
http://src.alionscience.com/pdf/BAYES.pdf 


 
Week 15: Group Project Presentation
===================================



Additional Readings, Case Studies and Examples
==============================================
NIST Engineering Statistics Data Sets:
http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/education/datasets.htm#regression
Heat Flow Meter Study:
http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/eda/section4/eda428.htm
Ceramic Strength Study:
http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/eda/section4/eda42a.htm
Beam Deflection Study:
http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/eda/section4/eda425.htm
Filter Transmittance Study:
http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/eda/section4/eda426.htm
Load Cell Calibration Study:
http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/pmd/section6/pmd61.htm
A regression application in Reliability. Chance Magazine, ASA.
http://www.amstat.org/publications/jse/v10n3/datasets.caroni.html


Updated IX/2017