ECS526 Course Schedule (Updated Fall 2018):

 

Textbooks: Walpole & Myers (W/M); Montgomery & Runger (M/R)  
 
Week    AppDat    Ch.W/M   Ch.M/R     Topics
====    ======    ======   ======     ======
 1       8/29     1 - 2      1        Intro/Descriptive/Probs/Events
 2       9/5      3 - 4      2        Laws & Axioms of Random Vars.
 3       9/12     5 - 6      3        Discrete Distributions/Parameters
 4       9/19       7        4        Continuous Distributions/Paramtrs.
 5       9/26       8        5        Transformations/First Test 
 6      10/3      9 - 17   7 - 8      Confidence Intervals/Samplng Dist.
 7      10/10      10        9        One Sample Hypothesis Tests & CI
 8      10/17      10        10       Two Sample Hypothesis Tests & CI
 9      10/24      10        15       NonParametric, GOF & other tests
10      10/31     8 - 10     16       Quality Control/Second Test
11      11/7       11        11       Regression Analysis & Applicats.
12      11/14    11 - 13     13       Analysis of Variance & Applicats
13      11/21      12        7 	      Thanksgivings Break
14      11/28      14        14       DOE, Reliability & Applicats.
15      12/06     8 - 17   3 - 8      Group Project Presentation
16      12/12     8 - 17   3 - 8      Final Project/ANCOVA/DOE/SPC/Rel 

Course Readings: 
================

Quality and Reliability Institute Web page:
===========================================
http://ecs.syr.edu/faculty/romeu/QR&CII.htm

Walpole and Myers Textbook (9th Edition) in the Web:
====================================================
https://nnquan.files.wordpress.com/2013/01/probability-statistics-for-engineers-scientists-9th-edition-walpole.pdf

Statistical Education of American Engineers
===========================================
http://web.cortland.edu/romeu/StatEdAmerEng2012Q2-art3.pdf


E-Readings by (approximate) Week:
==================================


Week 1: Intro/Descriptive Stats/Probability.
============================================
Teaching Engineering Statistics to Practicing Engineers
http://www.stat.auckland.ac.nz/~iase/publications/17/4A1_ROME.pdf 
Random Variables and Statistical Distributions: 
A)	AMPTIAC Newsletter. 
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.167.5518&rep=rep1&type=pdf
B)	RAC Newsletter:
https://www.dsiac.org/sites/default/files/journals/1ST_Q2001.pdf

Week 2: Probability Laws/Random Variables
=========================================
Empirical Assessment of Normal and Lognormal Distribution Assumptions
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/empirical-assessment-normal-and-lognormal-distribution-assumptions
Statistical Assumptions of an Exponential Distribution
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/statistical-assumptions-exponential-distribution
Graphical Comparisons of Two Populations
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/graphical-comparisons-two-populations 


Week 3: Discrete Distributions & Parameters 
===========================================
Empirical Assessment of the Weibull Distribution
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/empirical-assessment-weibull-distribution
Reliability Estimation for the Exponential Life
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/reliability-estimations-exponential-life 


Week 4: Continuous Distributions & Parameters
=============================================
Parallel Systems Reliability
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/understanding-series-and-parallel-systems-reliability
Availability of Repairable Systems  
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/availability


Week 5: Sample Size. Transformations. First Test (Probs)
========================================================
Determining the Experimental Sample Size
http://web.cortland.edu/romeu/ExperSampSizeQR&CII.pdf 
Censored Data
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/censored-data


Week 6: Confidence Interval & Sampling Distributions
====================================================
Reliability Statistics II: On Estimation and Testing (Page 4)
https://www.dsiac.org/sites/default/files/journals/3q2001.pdf 
Statistical Confidence  
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/statistical-confidence


Week 7: One Sample Hypothesis Tests.
====================================
Reliability Estimation for the Exponential Life
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/reliability-estimations-exponential-life  
Understanding Logistics
http://web.cortland.edu/romeu/LogisticsREL_V1N3.pdf 



Week 8: Two Sample Hypothesis Tests
=================================== 
The Chi-Square: a Large-Sample Goodness of Fit Test
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/chi-square-large-sample-goodness-fit-test
OC Functions and Acceptance Sampling Plans
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/operating-characteristic-oc-functions-and-acceptance-sampling-plans



Week 9: Goodness-of-Fit & NonParametrics Tests 
==============================================
The Kolmogorov-Smirnov: a Small-Sample Goodness of Fit Test
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/kolmogorov-simirnov-goodness-fit-test-small-samples  
The Anderson-Darling: a Small-Sample Goodness of Fit Test
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/anderson-darling-goodness-fit-test-small-samples-assumptions
 
Week 10: Aplications to QC. Second Test (Inferential).
======================================================
Quality Control Charts
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/quality-control-charts
Combining data
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/censored-data



Week 11: Intro to Modeling in Regression
========================================
Reliability Statistics III: 
On Statistical Modeling of Reliability Data
a)	Journal of the Reliability Analysis Center. Vol. 9, Number 4.
https://www.dsiac.org/sites/default/files/journals/4q2001.pdf
C)	Journal of AMPTIAC
http://infohouse.p2ric.org/ref/32/31672.pdf 
On Regression Analysis
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/regression-analysis


Week 12: Intro to Modeling in ANOVA.
====================================
Minitab and Pizza: a Workshop Experiment
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/237389660_Minitab_and_Pizza_A_Workshop_Experiment 
Design and Evaluation of Aquatic Ecosystems via Simulation
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.105.349 



Week 13: Thanksgivings Break
============================



Week 14: Case Studies in Modeling and Analysis
==============================================
A regression application in Reliability. Chance Magazine, ASA.
http://www.amstat.org/publications/jse/v10n3/datasets.caroni.html
Measuring Cost Avoidance with Messy Data
Proc. of the 2004 Reliability and Maintainability Symposium (RAMS)
http://web.cortland.edu/romeu/RAMSPaper.pdf 
A Discussion on Software Reliability Models 
Journal of the Reliability Analysis Center. Vol. 8, Number 1.
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/legacy_journals/journal-rac-vol-8-no-1- discussion-software-reliability-modeling-problems

 
Week 15: Advanced Modeling Techniques
=====================================
Design of Experiments for Reliability Improvement
https://www.quanterion.com/design-of-experiments-for-reliability-improvement/
Understanding Series and Parallel Systems Reliability
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/understanding-series-and-parallel-systems-reliability
Operations Research and Statistical Techniques
http://web.cortland.edu/romeu/ORStatTechInDataMine.pdf 
Understanding Exponential Sequential Tests
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/understanding-exponential-sequential-tests
Understanding Binomial Sequential Tests
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/understanding-binomial-sequential-testing
Use of Bayesian Techniques for Reliability
https://www.dsiac.org/resources/reference_documents/use-bayesian-techniques-reliability
Determining the Experimental Sample Size. 
Journal of the Systems Reliability Center (SRC) 
3rd Quarter 2005; pp. 11-21


Additional Readings, Case Studies and Examples
==============================================
NIST Engineering Statistics Data Sets:
http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/education/datasets.htm#regression
Heat Flow Meter Study:
http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/eda/section4/eda428.htm
Ceramic Strength Study:
http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/eda/section4/eda42a.htm
Beam Deflection Study:
http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/eda/section4/eda425.htm
Filter Transmittance Study:
http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/eda/section4/eda426.htm
Load Cell Calibration Study:
http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/pmd/section6/pmd61.htm


Updated VIII/2018